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What The Data Tells Us

An honest, data-driven look at crime in Regina. No sensationalism, no sugar-coating. Just numbers and context.

In This Report

1. The Big Picture 2. The Safest Areas (And Why) 3. The Improving Areas 4. Seasonal Patterns 5. What Realtors Skip 6. The Data Gap

1. The Big Picture

In 2018, Regina recorded approximately 34,000 crime incidents across all neighbourhoods. That's roughly 150 incidents per 1,000 residents annually, making Regina one of Canada's higher-crime cities per capita.

But that headline number hides enormous variation. The safest neighbourhoods see fewer than 50 incidents per year. The highest-activity areas can top 1,000+. Where you live within Regina matters more than whether you live in Regina at all.

The gap between safest and most dangerous is roughly 20x. Two neighbourhoods 10 minutes apart can have wildly different risk profiles. This is why blanket "Regina is dangerous" takes are misleading.

Property crime dominates. Theft, break-and-enter, and mischief make up roughly 70-80% of all incidents city-wide. Violent crime (assault, robbery) is heavily concentrated in a small number of core neighbourhoods.


2. The Safest Areas (And Why)

Consistently low-crime areas in Regina share common traits:

Best bets for newcomers: Whitmore Park, Lakeview, Hillsdale, University Park, and Harbour Landing consistently rank in the top 10 safest. They also have good school access and transit. Check their neighbourhood profiles for details.

However: "safe" doesn't mean "zero crime." Even the safest neighbourhoods see occasional vehicle break-ins, especially in winter when cars are left running.


3. The Improving Areas

Several neighbourhoods have shown sustained crime reduction over the 2007-2018 historical window:

These areas represent potential value for buyers. Lower home prices + improving safety trajectory = good long-term bets. But do your due diligence — check the 12-year trend charts before deciding.

Caution: "Improving" doesn't mean "safe yet." Some areas have improved from "very high" to "high" — better, but still above average. Always check the absolute numbers, not just the trend direction.

4. Seasonal Patterns

Regina crime follows strong seasonal patterns:

Summer Peak (June - August)

Crime spikes 30-40% in summer months. More people outside, longer daylight hours, social gatherings, and school being out all contribute. Mischief, assault, and theft from vehicles peak during this window.

Winter Dip (December - February)

At -30°C to -40°C, nobody wants to be outside. Property crime drops. But domestic-related incidents hold steady or increase. Vehicle theft spikes when people leave cars running to warm up.

September Spike

Back-to-school correlates with a brief spike in theft and break-ins, possibly related to people returning from summer vacations to find homes targeted.

Practical tip: If you're moving in fall/winter, crime stats for that period will look artificially low. Summer is when you see the true baseline. Check multiple seasons before drawing conclusions.

5. What Realtors Skip

Real estate listings highlight schools and parks. They rarely mention:

We're not anti-realtor. They have a job to do. But when you're choosing where to raise a family or start fresh in Canada, you deserve the complete picture. That's why this tool exists.

6. The Data Gap

Let's be transparent: we have a 7-year hole in our data. Historical data covers 2007-2018 (from open datasets). Our live feed covers 2026 onward. That leaves 2019-2025 unaccounted for.

What happened during the gap?

COVID-19 (2020-2022) likely disrupted normal patterns significantly. Opioid crisis escalation, homelessness increases, and policing changes all occurred during this window. We can't know the specifics without data.

What we're doing about it

We believe in honesty over completeness. We won't interpolate, guess, or fill in fake data. When we have the 2019-2025 records, we'll add them. Until then, the gap is clearly marked in all our charts and tools.

Want to help? If you have access to Regina crime data from 2019-2025, submit it here or open a pull request on our GitHub repository.